Should Biden retire?
The question of whether President Joe Biden should retire has been a topic of discussion. Some senior Democrats have expressed concern about his performance, particularly after a feeble debate showing. Technically, Biden could choose not to seek a second term, but he has given no indication of stepping aside. While some believe it’s too late for a replacement, others still consider the possibility. Ultimately, the decision rests with him and those close to him.
Define a normal-form game with 4 players, Biden, Trump, GOP and DNC. Show the possible moves, likely utility for each move, and payoffs to each player in all branches of the game. Based on these payoffs, from Biden's perspective, what is the best move for him?
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Should Biden retire?
Based on the search results, there is growing concern among some Democrats that President Biden should consider stepping aside for the 2024 election, though opinions are divided and the situation remains complex.
Several key points emerge:
1. Age and performance concerns: Biden's age (he would be 82 at the start of a second term) and his recent debate performance have raised doubts about his ability to effectively campaign and serve another term. A recent poll showed 77% of the public, including 69% of Democrats, believe Biden is too old to serve effectively.
2. Electoral viability: Some Democrats worry that Biden may not be the strongest candidate to defeat Donald Trump in 2024. Recent polls show Democratic senators and representatives outpolling Biden by 5 to 15 points in close races.
3. Procedural challenges: Replacing Biden as the nominee would be difficult. There is no official mechanism for him to step aside and select a successor, and nearly 99% of delegates are pledged to him. An open convention could lead to a chaotic scramble for a new nominee.
4. Potential replacements: While Vice President Kamala Harris would not automatically succeed Biden, she would be a contender. However, her lower popularity could be an issue. Other names mentioned include governors Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Andy Beshear.
5. Party division: There is no consensus within the Democratic Party on this issue. Some party leaders and Biden allies dismiss the idea of a leadership change, while others are privately expressing concerns.
6. Biden's determination: Despite these concerns, there is no indication that Biden himself is considering stepping down. His close aides predict he will continue due to his pride and self-belief.
While there are growing calls for Biden to consider retiring, the situation remains fluid and complex. The decision ultimately rests with Biden himself, and any change would face significant procedural and political challenges.
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